Some people live
FROM playing poker
Are you one of them?
TRY
FOR FREE!

 

 
 
William Hill Poker
click here for more info...
click here for more info...

Imate Blog?

Imate zanimljiv Blog, koji se bavi sportskim kladjenjem? Prijavite ga ovde!
 Opkade uživo..nova dimenzija kladjenja!
William Hill Poker

Počnite da zarađujete od SMS-a
za 5 minuta!
Bez početnih i mesečnih troškova.
fortumo.rs

Betting preview's




21.01.2017
England Premier League


 

Middlesbrough 2.48 v West Ham 3.30; The Draw 3.30

Middlesbrough have signed two strikers already during the January Transfer Window, perhaps suggesting that boss Aitor Karanka is willing to change his favoured formation of playing with just a lone attacker.

Rudy Gestede and Patrick Bamford have joined the attacking ranks at the Riverside Stadium, which means in addition to Alvaro Negredo, Jordan Rhodes, Christian Stuani, and Viktor Fischer, Boro have at least six players who can comfortably play as a central striker.

Yet in all bar two or three of Middlesbrough's 23 games this season Karanka has played just one man up front!

So unless Rhodes is definitely on his way out - which admittedly seems likely - and Gestede and Bamford are extremely happy to come and just sit on the bench, then Karanka might be contemplating a change of system in an attempt to get his side to score more goals.

The Boro boss has been incredibly negative this term, regularly playing three holding midfielders in front of a back four, and it has resulted in his side scoring the fewest amount of goals in the Premier League - just 0.8 per game on average.

On the plus side no club outside of the top six has conceded fewer than Karanka's men this season but it means that watching Middlesbrough has become about as exciting as a trip to the dentist.

Expect another defensive set-up for Saturday's home game against West Ham given that avoiding defeat will undoubtedly be Karank's number one priority. And against a Dimitri Payet-less Hammers side this game has all the makings of another slow burner.

Slaven Bilic's men have been far from prolific themselves in recent weeks. They recorded much needed back-to-back home games in December, winning 1-0 each time, and prior to Saturday's 3-0 win over Crystal Palace - which came courtesy of a trio of late goals - the Hammers had gone three consecutive games without finding the back of the net.

I think this game is ripe for trading the 0-0 Correct Score, but my preference is to back Under 1.5 Goals at 3.00. Remarkably, six out of Middlesbrough's last 10 league games have finished either 0-0 or 1-0/0-1, and 11 of their last 14 have resulted in both teams failing to get on the scoresheet.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Under 1.5 Goals @ 3.00

 

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Stoke 6.40 v Manchester United 1.64; The Draw 4.20

It's 16 games unbeaten for Manchester United in all competition so it goes without saying that they are the rightful favourites to collect all three points at Stoke, but there are a few factors that suggest taking them on at odds of 1.64 is worthwhile.

The obvious one is the form of the home side. Mark Hughes' men had an awful start to the season and were bottom of the table for the first six weeks, but they've since climbed to ninth thanks to collecting around 1.8 points per game during the last three months.

In fact an interesting statistic is that since Stoke managed to avoid defeat at Old Trafford in early October they've since collected 24 league points, which is just three fewer than the 27 points United have collected in the same period.

So the fact is, there is very little between these two clubs if considering just a three-month form guide.

Admittedly United have been better in recent weeks and they have looked far more cohesive now that Jose Mourinho is close to finding his ideal starting XI, but it has to be said that barring the narrow victory over Tottenham, United haven't really defeated any team that they weren't expected to beat.

Swansea, Palace, Middlesbrough, Sunderland, West Ham, and West Brom have all been victims of United's improved form, but since the first meeting between these two clubs Mourinho's men have failed to beat Burnley and the Hammers in the league at Old Trafford, while they've also lost to Chelsea, and failed to beat Liverpool (twice), Arsenal, and Everton when presented with much tougher assignments.

With Stoke being a top seven or eight-type team during the last three months I believe there's definitely enough mentioned already to suggest that they can give United a stern test.

But consider also the Potters recent head-to-head record on home soil against the Red Devils. Stoke won 2-1 almost three years ago, drew 1-1 in January 2015, and last season they defeated them again, this time by a scoreline of 2-0.

At the odds it's worth chancing that Hughes' men can make it four seasons on the trot that they'll avoid defeat against United in front of their own fans.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Lay Man Utd to Win @ 1.65
 

 

 


 

SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription

 


 


West Brom 1.75 v Sunderland 5.60; The Draw 3.90

Since winning three league games out of four during November/December Sunderland have now won just one of their last nine in all competitions, and that run of form makes putting West Brom up to win as the obvious selection.

David Moyes' men have been particularly poor away from home, losing five on the spin and rather worryingly losing them all by at least two-goal margins. The Black Cats have faced a few tough tasks admittedly, but conceding six goals in two games to Burnley and three against rock bottom Swansea will have done absolutely nothing for confidence within the camp.

On Saturday Sunderland travel to West Brom, and on this season's form alone playing the Baggies at the Hawthorns represents an intimidating task.

And that's because Tony Pulis' men have been ruthless on home soil against teams below them in the table. Since the goalless draw at home to Middlesbrough at the start of the season West Brom have won five out of five in that particular category, scoring a very impressive 17 goals (at least three in each game) in total against the likes of Burnley, Hull, Swansea, Watford, and West Ham.

But as well as current form pointing us in the direction of a comfortable win for the Baggies, recent head-to-head stats between the two sides at the Hawthorns makes for alarming reading if you're a Sunderland fan.

West Brom have won six and drawn one of the last seven meetings at home to the Black Cats, keeping five clean sheets in the process and winning by at least three clear goals in three of those matches.

I wouldn't put anyone off backing West Brom -1 here, but I'm more than happy to back Pulis' men at the current odds so I'll reluctantly pass on pushing the boat out.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back West Brom to Win @ 1.75

 


GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

England Championship


 

Brighton v Sheffield Wednesday
Friday 19th January, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports 1


Brighton


Chris Hughton has called on his Brighton side to bounce straight back from Saturday's 2-0 setback at Preston with the perfect pick-me-up - beating promotion rivals Sheffield Wednesday at the Amex on Friday evening.

The Seagulls suffered only their third loss of the Championship campaign - three fewer than any other team - as their unbeaten 18-match league streak went up in flames at Deepdale.

Dale Stephens, Gaetan Bong and suspension-free Lewis Dunk are all expected to return to the starting line-up with Stephens and Beram Kayal on course to be reunited in central midfield after the former's lengthy injury absence.


Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday produced a sluggish first-half performance against Huddersfield last time out but the introduction of new centre forward Sam Winnall at the interval sparked the Owls into life.

The Winnall added an extra dimension to Wednesday's play with the Owls eventually running out 2-0 winners thanks to goals from Ross Wallace and Fernando Forestieri. Winnall, along with fellow new signings Callum McManaman and Morgan Fox, are all hoping to starts here.

Carlos Carvalhal's kept his cards close to his chest with regards to who'll play but the Portuguese coach urged his team to keep their impressive league form going with the visitors cementing their place in the top-six thanks to six victories from their last 10 outings.


Match Odds

This is the first meeting between these sides at the Amex since last season's play-off semi-final, which ended in a 1-1 draw and Wednesday progressing 3-1 on aggregate. However, Brighton did gain a slice of revenge in October when the Seasiders recorded their first ever victory at Hillsborough.

The hosts have claimed nine wins from their past 12 games at the Amex and are rated 2.04favourites to clinch another maximum point haul here having already seen off top-six rivals Leeds and Huddersfield on home soil.

Sheffield Wednesday can be backed at a fancy 4.40 for victory and with Carlos Carvalhal's men already beating Newcastle and Huddersfield on their travels this term, a repeat shouldn't be ruled out.

But it's the stalemate that stands out most, at 3.40. Since the start of last season, Brighton have recorded 9/14 (64%) draws against fellow top-six teams. And Sheffield Wednesday have followed suit in 7/16 (44%) from the same sample.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

No second-tier side has shipped fewer goals than Brighton's tally of 17. In fact, the Seagulls have never conceded fewer goals following the first 25 matches of a season in their history and that rock-solid defence should lead towards another low-scoring encounter.

Eight of the past nine meetings between the two in Suffolk have seen Under 2.5 Goals collect and it's an angle that tallies kindly with the visitors recent trends. Nine of the Owls' last 11 away days have featured fewer than two three goals with Glen Loovens and Tom Lees' helping to secure five clean sheets in six.

Under 2.5 Goals has proven profitable in 22/30 (73%) of the pairs collective games against promotion rivals dating back to the beginning of 2015/16 although 1.63 quotes are prohibitively short.
source:betfair

Recommended Bets

Back the draw @ 3.40

 


click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 

QPR v Fulham
Saturday 20th January, 12:30
Live on Sky Sports 1


QPR


Ian Holloway lost six of his first seven games after his return to QPR but three successive Championship triumphs against Wolves, Ipswich and Reading has drastically improved the mood around Loftus Road.

The Rangers boss was justifiably proud of his players after an interchanging 5-3-2/4-3-3 system helped to keep fourth-placed Reading in check at the Madejski Stadium - Grant Hall operating in a peculiar centre-half and centre-midfield position when in and out of possession.

Young midfielder Ryan Manning continues to earn rave reviews in the centre of the park and although Kazenga Lualua is pushing for a start, Holloway looks unlikely to change too much after the impressive performance at Reading.


Fulham

Fulham make the short journey to W12 having suffered only two defeats in their last 12 league and cup games, both arriving against title-chasing Brighton in keenly-contested matches.

Slavisa Jokanovic's side overcame Barnsley comfortably in their most recent outing and won 2-0 at Ipswich on their previous road trip. However, the Cottagers haven't won back-to-back away fixtures since December 2014.

The Cottagers are without Floyd Ayite and Neeskens Kebano - both on African Cup of Nations duty - though Jokanovic is likely to name an unchanged starting XI following the beating of Barnsley.


Match Oddsclick here for more info...

Fulham 2.08 have enjoyed the upper hand in recent skirmishes, bagging maximum points in three of their past four visits to Loftus Road. In fact, the Cottagers have claimed top honours in seven of their last nine meetings against the Hoops.

QPR 4.00 were victorious when the pair clashed at Craven Cottage back in October but the R's rode their luck in that encounter as Fulham missed two penalties and a sackful of excellent goalscoring opportunities.

The visitors have only suffered six (27%) defeats on their travels under Slavisa Jokanovic's watch with five of their seven triumphs games as guests under the Serbian head coach arriving this term.

Although QPR have posted an usually poor W4-D3-L6 return at Loftus Road in 2016/17, the R's newfound confidence and game-plan under Holloway makes the hosts dangerous prospects at a kind price.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The majority of trends are pointing towards a low-scoring duel - nine of QPR's past 12 when welcoming top-half teams have featured Under 2.5 Goals and seven of Fulham's previous nine trips to bottom-half sides have followed suit.

But this fixture tends to produce plenty of goalmouth action. Backing Over 2.5 Goals 1.87 would have seen punters collect in each of the last five meetings, as well as four of Rangers' last five outings and seven of Fulham's previous nine contests.

With the Cottagers notching at least twice in six of their last seven, as well as in five of their 11 road trips, goals should be on the agenda. The visitors have only kept 4/22 (18%) away clean sheets under Jokanovic but have managed to find the back of the net themselves on 17 (77%) occasions.
source:betfair

Recommended Bets

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.87

 


GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

England League One


 

Rochdale 2.20 v Oxford United 3.50, the draw 3.65


As usual, Sheffield United are very short this weekend as they entertain Gillingham - and you can back the League One leaders at 1.44 if that's your thing. The Blades hold a top record at Bramall Lane - picking up 31 points there so far, yet Rochdale have an identical record at Spotland and can still be taken at 2.20 to beat Oxford. 

That impressive run of results at home for Rochdale, with ten victories and two draws, scoring 28 and conceding just nine, ranks them as one of the best teams in the division - so they are definitely overpriced here. In fact, they look the bet of the day. 

Opta stats also point to the fact we should seriously consider the hosts, as Keith Hill's side are looking to win three successive home league fixtures against Oxford for the first time. 

A recent 2-1 defeat at Southend halted a run of six straight victories for Rochdale. They might have been a bit unlucky in Essex and decisions certainly didn't go their way, but you can never ever be put off from backing anyone in the third tier after a loss. 

The U's were 1-0 victors in the reverse fixture back in September, but they haven't beaten the Dale twice in the league during the same season since 2003/4. Hill's men were out of form when losing four months ago. Nowadays they are a good team, and turned over Scunthorpe recently 3-2. 
source:betfair
Recommended Bet 
Back Rochdale to beat Oxford United @ 2.20

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Shrewsbury Town 2.58 v Oldham Athletic 3.55, the draw 3.55


It's probably safe to say the Under 8.5 Goals market will face little pressure this Saturday. Oldham rarely score, and Shrewsbury have really tightened up at the back in their previous five home matches. Therefore the Under 1.5 Goals option should be the one. 

We have to start with Oldham, who have scored a measly 13 goals all season. Opta back up the tale of woe, as the grim stats reveal the Latics have failed to score in more League One matches than any other team in the third tier (16). 

John Sheridan has taken over the north west club for the third time, and he gained a first win last weekend thanks to a 1-0 success against Gillingham. 

Shrewsbury's recent home defensive record of conceding just once in their previous five games highlights how Paul Hurst has given them a fighting chance of surviving. Saturday's 1-0 victory against Bradford was their first win in five, and they kept a good side quiet and restricted them to very few chances. 

The Latics away from home have hit the Under 2.5 target in ten of their 13 matches, whilst Shrewsbury's home record for the same market is nine from 13 - so this could present an ideal game to trade the correct score markets of 0-0 and 1-1 in-play to yield a green book. 

However, the hosts might just be strong enough to win, for an encounter that won't be a classic.
source:betfair
Recommended Bets 
Back Under 1.5 Goals @ 2.92
Back Shrewsbury Town to beat Oldham Athletic @ 2.58

 


SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription


 

 

Walsall 2.94 v Bristol Rovers 2.52, the draw 3.60


Bristol Rovers seem to provide the entertainment these days. They score and concede plenty - in fact with a record of 47 goals against - they should be down towards the bottom of the table. However, they are capable of hitting anyone for a few on their day, and that makes them wildly unpredictable. 

For example, the Pirates recently lost 3-1 to Fleetwood, yet had beaten Northampton 5-0 the week before, and lost to Charlton 4-1. 

Therefore I am not in a mad rush to take them at around 6/4 - especially being the away side as favourites. 

Recency bias is a dangerous thing for a League One punter due to the up-and-down nature of the table, but the Saddlers were brilliant in smashing leaders Sheffield United 4-1 last Saturday. 

Manager and former physio/head of medicine Jon Whitney described it as the best display in his 13 years at the club. Some might say it was just what the doctor ordered. 

Whitney matched the Blades' 3-5-2, so I want to see him go that way again against Rovers, and according to Opta, the Gas are winless in their last five league games with Walsall. I'm slightly worried about the ability to back up a fine display, but we are compensated for that with the price. 
source:betfair
Recommended Bet 
Back Walsall to beat Bristol Rovers @ 2.94

 

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


England League Two


 

Exeter 2.60 v Colchester 2.90; the draw 3.60

Mid-January brings fresh uncertainties for tipsters, managers and players, with teams able to change coaches and personnel at a moment's notice. It is no wonder a team's fortunes start to change, because there is nothing like a deadline to focus the mind. I'm not talking about the transfer window closing, but the end of the season. Players suddenly see promotion, relegation, or the end of their contracts looming. Or two of those three.

It suddenly makes predicting results even trickier, especially in games when the two top form teams come together.

Exeter and Colchester both have fantastic momentum with 16 points from their last six games. Paul Tisdale's Grecians have even started winning at St James' Park, 4-0 against Leyton Orient and 2-0 against Mansfield. They have conceded just twice in eight games, Ollie Watkins really emerging as an attacking force with nine goals so far. David Wheeler is not far behind with seven.

Exeter really need to maintain that home momentum but Colchester have marched into the top seven, their great run being seven wins and two draws from nine games. Kurtis Guthrie was delighted to gain his last set of goals - a hat-trick - before Newport dented that winning run by clutching a draw. But Colchester have rattled in the goals too in many games, scoring 17 in nine games, while Exeter have netted 17 in an eight-game unbeaten run.

So, whether it is Chris Porter for Colchester or Reuben Reid for Exeter, defences are likely to have a hard time against two attacking teams, so it should be a good game to watch with plenty of goals. Therefore a bet on over 3.5 goals appeals much more than the three match odds options, as it did with many games early on this season.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back over 3.5 goals @ 3.50

 


click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 


Accrington 2.60 v Carlisle 3.00; the draw 3.60

Cash-strapped Accrington. It's become a cliche used by lazy journalists on live Saturday afternoon results shows to describe why John Coleman's men are struggling in yet another game.

Did these reporters miss Andy Holt's cash injection of £600,000 only 18 months ago? 'Cash-strapped' is how you describe Morecambe, who can barely put out a full subs bench some weeks and paid their players late at the end of last year. Actually, Morecambe can't be that badly off if they just signed an 18-year-old forward, Anthony Evans, on loan from Everton.

It is true that Stanley remain one of the worst supported teams in the Football League and on that basis have over-performed for several seasons including by reaching the play-offs. But that has been down to Coleman finding gems to keep their standards high.

Like the Shrimps, they remain capable of winning games when you think they are down. Take their FA Cup match against Luton, which they won 2-1 with Sean McConville and Omar Beckles scoring that day, while Billy Kee helped give them a first league win in 11 games just a few weeks ago. 

Coleman deems their on-field plight, just above the relegation zone, "critical" and continues to curse their bad luck, referees and repeated mistakes. Opta remind us that they have scored the fewest goals in League Two. 

So why, exactly, are automatic promotion chasers Carlisle 3.00 and Accrington, struggling at the wrong end of the table, 2.60? 

Carlisle have not lost three times in a row under Keith Curle and avoided that again with a draw at home to Morecambe. However, we at this point have to measure how likely it is they will do a "Devon Loch" and collapse, like Plymouth did last season, into the play-offs.

"New Players" was Curle's call after the shockingly big 4-1 defeat to Colchester, but notably striker Derek Asamoah and Russell Penn have left, making room in the squad for midfielder Gary Liddle from Chesterfield. 

United have plenty of quality in the shape of Charlie Wyke and Jabo Ibehre, if selected, and Jason Kennedy's 10 goals to inspire them. Nicky Adams, say Opta, has the most assists in League Two with 15.

Is there enough in the price to justify the away win or enough in the form to suggest Accrington can pinch a point? The draw is worth the punt.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back the draw @ 3.60

 


GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 


Hartlepool 3.10 v Stevenage 2.50; the draw 3.50 

Stevenage are one side who should take a victory this weekend, unless there is a sudden reversal of trends in their favour or the Dave Jones revolution starts extremely quickly. 

Overall, Stevenage's form is not fantastic, with two wins and four defeats in six games. However, they did win six away games in a row before suffering defeats at Doncaster and Plymouth, a forgivable state of affairs as those are the top two teams in League Two as it stands.

Darren Sarrl has his eyes on a play-off spot that looked hugely unlikely a few weeks ago, but Matt Godden's goals and the experience of Steven Schumacher are among benefits which have had them striking high. Home form needs improving, but they did at least defeat Newport last time out at the Lamex Stadium.

Craig Hignett's Hartlepool came away licking their wounds once more from Crawley, losing 1-0 again after the same reverse against Grimsby. They do put in goals and battling performances against the weaker teams, Padraig Amond (9 goals this season) netting twice in recent matches. But it has been another tough old season for Pools, not giving super fan Jeff Stelling much to rave about. Stevenage will be all guns blazing to put their top seven ambitions back on track.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Stevenage @ 2.50

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Grimsby 2.10 v Notts County 3.90; the draw 3.70

How long will it take Kevin Nolan to make his mark on the Magpies? He couldn't do it with Leyton Orient, but that was one troubled club with so many managerial changes in the past few years. Wait! It's a similar story at Notts County.

He has already set his stall out that Thierry Audel and Richard Duffy can continue to be as "exceptional" in central defence as they were against Mansfield last week. He also has a fully fit squad - something he was grateful for when he walked through the door.

Another clean sheet will be tough against Omar Bogle, whose 18 goals in all competitions has attracted Rotherham, Nottingham Forest and Barnsley.

If the visitors can get away with a clean sheet it will be a surprise, but they have something to build on after 10 straight defeats and it could just be worth taking the draw against a side who are clearly enjoying life under Marcus Bignot, but whose form is hit and miss. 

They haven't actually scored a goal in three of their last four home games - albeit against Exeter, Blackpool and Portsmouth, three of the sides who are shaping up to be in the shake-up for promotion at the end of the season. Notts' own shake-up gives them a chance of taking a point.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Grimsby and Notts County to draw @ 3.70

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus


14.01.2017


 

England Premier League

 

Burnley 3.75 v Southampton 2.26; The Draw 3.40

I mention regularly in my previews the word value, or 'perceived value' as I call it because that's exactly what it is; one person's perception of what is a value price. I perceive Burnley to be value at 3.75 to win this match, and therefore they have to be the selection.

I'm not overly confident that the Clarets will bag yet another home win on Saturday, but what I am confident about is that if these two sides met 11 times under the exact same circumstances then Burnley would come out on top at least three times.

And that makes a price of 3.75 about a home win a value one.

The reason I mention 11 above - a rather strange sample you may have thought - is because not only is it the perfect number to use to explain why Burnley are value at their current odds, it's also the number of games they've played at Turf Moor in the league this season.

Yet remarkably Sean Dyche's men have won seven of those games including victories over top-nine clubs Liverpool (2nd), Everton (7th), and Bournemouth (9th). They've also defeated Palace and Watford who were both comfortably in mid-table at the time of playing.

Southampton are also a mid-table side - currently sitting 10th to be precise - but they travel to Lancashire on the back of three consecutive league defeats, conceding nine goals in the process. The Saints also failed to beat Norwich in the FA Cup last weekend, and although they defeated Liverpool in the EFL Cup in midweek the Reds were very much out of sorts that night and I'm happy to dismiss that result as a sign that Claude Puel's men have bounced back to form.

I do fancy Burnley to win this, I just don't think you can ever be too confident about a 3.75 shot in football - the outsider of the three Match Odds options may I add - and I do have this worry that the Clarets' home form will desert them sooner rather than later.

Mind you I've been saying that for the last six weeks and regularly been proved wrong, so let's stick with Dyche's men at an attractive price.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Burnley to Win @ 3.75

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Swansea 7.20 v Arsenal 1.53; The Draw 4.80

Swansea did win with new boss Paul Clement in attendance - a 2-1 victory over fellow strugglers Crystal Palace - but it was 'business as usual' when the former Derby boss officially took charge for the first time as the Swans were dumped out of the FA Cap by Hull last weekend.

Clement expressed his surprise at the quiet nature of the crowd, stating that it was different to what he's been used to recently. He's arrived at Swansea, and travelled to relegation candidates Hull, having been assistant manager at Bayern Munich. What was he expecting?

Clement's only previous managerial job of course was at Derby, where he flopped and was sacked after winning just 14 of the 33 games in which he was in charge of the then Championship title favourites. I have serious doubts about his ability to guide Swansea to Premier League safety.

Immediately before the league win over Palace Swansea had lost back-to-back games at the Liberty Stadium by an aggregate score of 1-7, losing by three clear goals on both occasions, to West Ham and Bournemouth respectively.

Arsenal are a far better team than those two outfits so it's easy to expect another heavy defeat for the Swans.

The Gunners were the big losers over the Christmas period, picking up just seven points from the 15 available, but prior to that they were in excellent form and I expect them to get back to that sort of level on Saturday afternoon.

Arsene Wenger's men are the third highest goalscorers in the Premier League while Swansea have conceded more than any other club in the division so it's not difficult to envisage the Gunners not just winning at the Liberty Stadium, but winning with plenty of room to spare.
source:betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Arsenal -1 to Win @ 2.50
 

 


GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 

West Ham 2.44 v Crystal Palace 3.25; The Draw 3.45

Saturday's six 3pm kick-offs hardly set the pulses racing; 11 of the bottom 12 clubs in the Premier League are in action and there are some very tough-looking fixtures.

This game became slightly more interesting with the news that Dimitri Payet no longer wants to play for the club. The Frenchman now looks set for period in limbo with boss Slaven Bilic standing firm and declaring he's going nowhere, but until his attitude changes Payet won't be considered for the first team.
click here for more info...
I'd like to say the situation is one of disbelief, but unfortunately it isn't. Players generally hold all the aces these days and more often than not will get what they want.

West Ham without Payet are a considerably weaker team, that's for certain, and at the London Stadium they look slightly vulnerable against Crystal Palace. The Hammers have already lost six times at their new home in all competitions and they've just conceded seven goals in back-to-back home defeats to the two Manchester clubs.

Facing Palace looks a much easier assignment as the Eagles concede a lot of goals away from home. In fact since the beginning of September Palace's nine Premier League away games have witnessed a total of 38 goals - 17 for, 21 against - at an average of just over four per game.

All bar one of those nine away matches resulted in both teams getting on the scoresheet and that's the bet I fancy here.

Sam Allardyce is sure to tighten the Eagles defence up in time but until we see evidence of it I'm prepared to wager that they'll concede at least one at the London Stadium. And given the magnitude of this game, and the fact that West Ham have been pretty poor on home soil this term, I expect Palace to get on the scoresheet themselves.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.85

 

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

 

Charlton Athletic 3.05 v Millwall 2.50, the draw 3.55
Both of these teams met just before Christmas, and Millwall took advantage of a woeful Charlton performance that day with a 3-1 victory. Unsurprisingly judged on that, the away side head the market as the favourites here.

Considering the inconsistencies of the duo, there could be some mileage in backing the home team for this derby, especially at odds of around 2/1 or bigger. Their home record at The Valley is good enough (W5-D4-L3), and their defensive record of conceding just ten goals in their own backyard is amongst the best in League One. 

But you have to excuse the shocking defensive lapses they produced in the heavy loss to their London rivals just a few weeks ago.

Millwall will be buoyed by the fantastic 3-0 FA Cup success against Bournemouth, and their Christmas was rather productive with ten points gained from four matches. They are going better after a wobbly period. 

The Over 2.5 Goals or the BTTS are bets worth considering, as we are counting on Millwall's poor record of conceding goals on the road. The Londoners have shipped in 27 on their travels, and have failed to keep a clean sheet away from The Den this season. 

Both are patchy though; Millwall were beaten at home 1-0 by Shrewsbury before their decent run, whilst Charlton have only showed brief glimpses of 'Karl Robinson football', and for that reason I'll chance the away team. 

OPTA STATS: The Addicks have not beaten the Lions in the league since 1996, drawing four and losing five of their last nine meetings. Millwall have conceded just two goals in their last eight league matches against Charlton (keeping six clean sheets in that run). 
source:betfair
Recommended Bet 
Back Millwall to win @ 2.50

 


 

click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 


 

Shrewsbury Town 4.90 v Bradford City 1.91, the draw 3.60


My record in successfully tipping a Bradford victory is fairly atrocious - so it's fair to say I'll be leaving alone the 4/5 on offer for the Bantams this Saturday. 

One place I will be heading though is the Under 2.5 bet. City's away record in 12 games reads F12 A12, whilst Shrewsbury's home ledger for goals stands at F12 A16 - so if we can get anywhere near 1.85 for that, that is the call. 

The Bantams have some terrific players and are a decent side, but they draw too many games. Correct scores of 0-0 have popped up on four occasions for Stuart McCall's men, whilst the 1-1 has fared even better with seven appearances. Both bets are worth looking at to trade in-play. 
click here for more info...
Shrewsbury managed to haul themselves out of the relegation recently for the first time in what seems likes years. Manager Paul Hurst deserves a lot of credit for that, and under his watch, they have conceded just one goal in six home league matches. 

Added to that stat, the Shrews have managed to stay in games against the better teams in the division, and they will simply have to see this as a 90 minute duel to keep the Yorkshire side at bay for as long as possible. And remember, Bradford are not a free-scoring team, as 17 of their League One matches this term have hit the Under 2.5 line. 

OPTA STATS: The Bantams have not won away in the league at Shrewsbury since September 2009; drawing one and losing three of the four trips. The Shrews have kept three clean sheets in their last four home league matches - the same amount as their previous 27. 
source:betfair
Recommended Bets 
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 
Back The Draw @ 3.60

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Port Vale 4.40 v MK Dons 1.95, the draw 3.65


The brief flirtation with a European experiment at Vale Park failed, and the patient (and often slow and painful) passing of the previous incumbent's 4-2-3-1 has been ditched in favour of a more urgent, pressing game. Vale's caretaker manager Michael Brown has put his new plan to good use in his two League One games since Bruno Riberio's departure - gaining a 0-0 draw at Oldham, and a 1-0 victory against Chesterfield. 

I have a feeling that's how Brown will be approaching Saturday's match, although surprisingly the home team are three places above the MK Dons. 

The Buckinghamshire outfit were dumped out of the FA Cup at Brighton last weekend, and their previous 0-0 clash with Chesterfield was a game of very few chances. Dour in fact. 
click here for more info...
New Dons' boss Robbie Neilson arguably has greater strength up front, and he fielded a 'forward three' in the match against Chesterfield. They will be the side capable of the moments of brilliance, but the MK Dons away from home have only scored 11 times this term - and they have hit the Under 2.5 target in three of their last four matches. 

Vale have just snapped up former Manchester United winger Chris Eagles, but Brown's style might just be a bit more defensive. 

OPTA STATS: The last four league games between these teams have produced just three goals; each of them helping in victories by a one-goal margin. MK have failed to score in consecutive away matches for the first time since December 2015. 
source:betfair
Recommended Bet 
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80

 


 

SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription

 


 

Cheltenham 2.84 v Accrington 2.76; the draw 3.40

"Don't tell him yer name, Pike!" said Captain Mainwaring in a famous line from Dad's Army. Or, if you've just signed for a new side, perhaps you shouldn't tell anybody what you can do so the opposition can't find out. I'm sure Gary Johnson will want to keep the skills of West Ham's Alex Pike a secret from Accrington, now he has hooked the defender on loan.

Equally, he will hope to use Carl Winchester, brought in from Oldham, as a surprise element as Cheltenham seek to prove former Southampton and England striker Matt Le Tissier right, that they shouldn't be sat as lowly as they are in League Two.

Pictures of robins looking proud in snowy scenes abound at this time of year. With snowy scenes still possible, it is time for the Robins of Cheltenham to flourish. I rarely base anything on Checkatrade Trophy results, but they will have gained a huge amount of confidence from their 6-1 win over Leicester U21s. Yes, they faced a young side, but they scored six goals.

Johnson will be delighted with new loan signing Diego De Girolamo's hat-trick - will the 21-year-old be in the frontline for a regular starting place? The Bristol City striker seems to have dislodged Billy Waters, one of Cheltenham's better performers this season, from his striker's position. But Waters has a licence to thrill from the centre of midfield. 

Cheltenham have reserved their better performances for the Checkatrade Trophy and have only won once in seven league games - at Morecambe, who are struggling for their very existence. It has been hard to give them the vote against many teams, but Accrington might just be one - because they, too, have been struggling for form. 

Victory against Luton in the FA Cup last weekend, putting them in the fourth round for only the second time, was against the grain of form. 

Can Sean McConville and Omar Beckles produce that magic in the league? Or Billy Kee find his scoring touch again? Arguably, both sides will fancy their chances of a point or three here, with John Stanley of Accrington bemoaning for several weeks how his side have not gone away from games without their just deserts. Opta emphasise they have failed to score in six of their last nine games.

Whichever side can build themselves up and puff their chests out best could win here - and I'm going for the Robins.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Cheltenham @ 2.84

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Crewe 3.80 v Luton 2.10; the draw 3.65

The boot was on the other foot at Accrington last Saturday, where Luton manager Nathan Jones was moaning that his side didn't get what deserved and were committing the same old errors - rather than it being the home side's boss. 

No doubt the Hatters will still be smarting and therefore eager to push back up into the playoff places, having slipped out of the top seven by a point.

Their away form is pretty solid, their eight goals conceded the best in the division, alongside Plymouth. They have conceded one goal in their last four away games, losing at Portsmouth. 

Competition for places is stiff, with Craig Mackail-Smith saying he might seek a loan elsewhere if he can't nail down a striker's berth and Jones admitting he can't hold back defender Jack Senior much longer from a starting place.
click here for more info...
Could he start against Crewe? With Glen Rea sent off in the FA Cup, he might be able to keep his place and make his full league debut. He is an attacking defender, too, which will help his and Luton's cause.

Crewe have really started to struggle, taking two points from seven games and not scoring in the last three games. Alex Kiwomya and Chris Dagnall need to find their scoring touches again.

Crewe do not change their manager often, so they must have thought long and hard about parting with Steve Davis, but have a man who knows them well in David Artell, 36, a former club captain, to take over. He says he will make mistakes - but at the same time "bleed" Kenny Lunt and many others for their knowledge. 

It's a steep learning curve when you step up to management. It is hard, however, to see that his "fresh start" can start with a victory against a team who have tangible ambitions to gain promotion, with Danny Hylton looking to celebrate his new contract by finishing chances from a new enthusiast like Jack Wright.
Opta point out that Luton have lost just one of their last eight away games while Crewe have won just one in eight at home.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Luton @ 2.10

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Grimsby Town 2.60 v Exeter City 3.00; the draw 3.55

Goalkeeper Dean Henderson, and his defence, earned rave reviews after Grimsby's 1-0 win at Hartlepool. In fact, they have conceded just one goal in four games, beating Carlisle and Accrington while drawing with Blackpool.

Adi Yussuf has also proved a useful addition up front, scoring in consecutive victories to take some of the weight off Omar Bogle's shoulders. Opta state that Bogle has been directly involved in a higher share of his team's goals than any other player in the top four tiers this season (70%).

For all that, the Mariners might just meet their match in Exeter, whose away points haul is second to none in League Two and whose ability to finally find form at home has propelled them from the bottom three to 12th in a matter of weeks. They are also fresh from not having played last weekend.

Paul Tisdale's men are seven games unbeaten, have conceded just two goals in that period and banged in 14. Ollie Watkins is just one of several players full of confidence and whom the Grecians will be desperate to keep in the transfer window. He scored eight times last season, having only started 12 of the final 13 games, and the academy product has eight goals to his name already this season. Reuben Reid, an experienced hand along side him, must be teaching him well.
The price is good on an away win and given the visitors' record on their travels this season, it is too big to ignore.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Exeter @ 3.00

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Newport County 3.65 v Colchester 2.22; the draw 3.60

Graham Westley clearly has been champing at the bit for the transfer window to open. Having made a few initial inroads into improving the Exiles' form, the manager has released six players and signed eight since January 1.

He wants winners - those who have won promotions before, because they know how to keep winning. Unfortunately, one who has done so, defender Mickey Demetriou, released from Shrewsbury with whom he climbed out of League Two, is unlikely to be fit to start against Colchester. And how Newport could do with some quality defenders! They have conceded twice or more in teach of their last six matches - 19 in total.

Five of those signings began against Stevenage, who won 3-1, with the other of the six at the time, much-travelled striker Craig Reid, coming on as a substitute. Not even he could arrest a slide of eight straight defeats.

Given all these transitions and that bad run, Colchester should be red hot favourites with their record of five straight wins and eight games unbeaten. Kurtis Guthrie will be on a high after his first hat-trick and while John McGreal doesn't want United to "get above themselves" there is every chance they are thinking they can reach the top seven.
source:betfair
Recommended Bet
Back Colchester @ 2.22

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 


07.01.2017


SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription

 

FA Cup third round

 

Birmingham 4.50 v Newcastle 1.94; The Draw 3.75

Predicting the outcome of a FA Cup Third Round tie 48 hours in advance is pretty much a case of the blind leading the blind.

In fact, the only thing we can wager on confidently during the new few days is that we won't hear a manager declare in his pre-match press conference that, "We've been looking forward to this game for weeks, having a good cup run is our priority and I'll be fielding my strongest side possible."

Unfortunately that just doesn't happen anymore. League titles, qualifying for Europe, avoiding relegation, achieving promotion; those are your priorities these days. They always have been of course, but they used to go hand-in-hand with managers still taking the FA Cup seriously.

But not anymore, and you can rest assured managers up and down the country will be making a plethora of changes to their starting XIs this weekend.

Newcastle have easily the strongest squad in the Championship and Rafa Benitez hasn't been afraid to rotate his men for league games, so he'll no doubt freshen his side up for the trip to St Andrew's after a hectic Christmas schedule.

But given United's quality we can be confident that whoever Benitez starts with should be good enough to progress to the next round. The Magpies have been excellent away from home this term, and facing an out-of-form Birmingham side should present few problems.

The Blues have taken just a single point from a possible 12 since Gianfranco Zola replaced Gary Rowett and I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Italian juggled his side here, more in the hope of trying to find a few players he can trust for league games ahead than anything else.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Newcastle to Win @ 1.94 

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Everton 1.92 v Leicester 4.60; The Draw 3.75

Everton have hit a bit of form in the Premier League, winning three of their last five matches including a 2-1 victory over Arsenal, an impressive 3-0 win over Southampton, and a 2-0 triumph over Saturday's opponents Leicester.

However, Ronald Koeman's men find themselves fully nine points behind sixth-placed Manchester United in the league so a good cup run would be very welcome on Merseyside.

I can see Koeman fielding a strong side, and given Leicester's dreadful away form backing the home win carries a lot of confidence.

The Foxes have yet to win a single league game away from home this season, and with a relegation battle ahead, and the club losing a few players to Africa Cup of Nations duty during the next four weeks or so, I envisage Claudio Ranieri resting some of his more important players for the trip to Goodison Park.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Everton to Win @ 1.92

 


 

 

Hull 2.66 v Swansea 2.88; The Draw 3.60

At least one boss will commence his tenure at his new club by progressing to the fourth round of the FA Cup, but don't expect it to be at the first time of asking.

Both Hull and Swansea are in such poor form that it's impossible to make a confident selection in the Match Odds market, though given the Draw is trading as the outsider of the three options at a quite appealing 3.60 then that's the call from a value perspective.

I'm pretty confident that if these two clubs met under the exact same circumstances three matches in a row then at least one of them would finish in a stalemate, and that would be enough for us to make a profit.

It's also impossible to know exactly how new managers Marco Silva (Hull) and Paul Clement (Swansea) will approach this tie given Premier League safety is undoubtedly their priority.

It could be that both managers will simply go all out for the win given that a replay is probably the last thing they'll want, and I'm not surprised that the Over 2.5 Goals options is a shade of odds-on at 1.98. When these two sides met in the Premier League earlier in the season it was Under 2.5 Goals that was favourite. Hull ran out 2-0 winners at the Liberty Stadium.

If you're thinking of having a decent wager on this match it will probably mean you waiting for the team new. Unfortunately I don't have that luxury but at this stage I just feel that the draw is slightly over-priced.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back The Draw @ 3.60

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 

Norwich 3.50 v Southampton 2.26; The Draw 3.50

There could potentially be a minor shock at Carrow Road on Saturday afternoon given Southampton's poor run of form.

Many will argue that with the Saints safely in mid-table then boss Claude Puel may as well play his strongest side possible and go for FA Cup glory. It's certainly a possibility, but his strongest side aren't exactly playing well at present.

And with club captain Jose Fonte handing in a transfer request on Thursday a few cracks might just be starting to appear within the Southampton squad.

Puel's men have lost three league games on the spin now, conceding nine goals in the process. That's quite an alarming statistic for a team that recorded six clean sheets on the spin earlier in the season.

Norwich haven't exactly been in great form either, in fact I've been keen to take them on recently, but on Monday they recorded a superb 3-0 win over in-form Derby, and with Alex Neil still under pressure I'm confident he'll send out a strong side to try and gain some more momentum against a vulnerable Premier League outfit.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Norwich to Win @ 3.50

 


SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription


 

West Brom 1.86 v Derby 4.80; The Draw 3.60

click here for more info...A meeting of two in-form teams though it's unlikely we'll witness a high-scoring classic when the Baggies host the Rams on Saturday afternoon.

Tony Pulis' men are enjoying a fantastic season, currently sitting eighth in the table with a four-point cushion over those below them. They've just recorded back-to-back wins over Southampton and Hull but I've got a feeling that the visit of Derby will present a very tough challenge.

Steve McClaren's men have been on a terrific run of form in the Championship, winning eight of nine games prior to Monday's defeat at Norwich, and they've recorded a very impressive seven clean sheets from their last nine matches.

At the Ipro Stadium Derby haven't conceded a goal for over three months, and although this tie is away from home it shows how organised and defensively tight McClaren's men have become.

West Brom will have plenty of possession but if they don't make an early breakthrough I envisage a very tactical affair with both defences coming out on top. Don't be surprised if this game remains goalless for long periods.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Under 1.5 Goals @ 3.00

 

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

 England football leagues

 

Swindon Town 2.22 v Shrewsbury Town 3.50, the draw 3.55

A glance at the footballing runes will not be top of the 'must do' list for Shrewsbury manager Paul Hurst, as according to Opta, his club have lost their last five away games against Swindon in league competition.

Taking their first-half performance in a 1-0 defeat against Fleetwood on Bank Holiday Monday, you are likely to say those stats won't be broken, as they produced a fairly forgettable 45 minutes. With three defeats on the spin and just two victories on the road all season; Salop do not exactly stand out as a bet this weekend at 5/2.

This match pits 23rd against 19th, and it's a must-win game for both. Swindon's home form could just make them the bet here however, with only one defeat from their last seven at the County Ground.

I have fond memories of Swindon's home. I interviewed the gigantic goalkeeper Bart Griemink many years ago, and following an in-depth chat, I realised I hadn't turned on the record button on the hard-to-carry Marantz tape machine. It was a corker too.

I also haven't erased from my memory the out-of-the-blue performance from the Robins when they trounced Charlton 3-0. They have kept four clean sheets in that run of seven home games, and they also beat Rochdale 3-0. If they produce that, they win.

Shrewsbury have plenty of industry but lack creation going forward, but eight of their 13 away games have finished Over 2.5 Goals. Hopefully the hosts will have Nathan Thompson and Yaser Kasim fit, as those two are big players. And with Town conceding just 11 goals on their own patch in 12 matches, they just shade it here for me.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet 
Back Swindon Town to win @ 2.22

 


 

Bristol Rovers 1.98 v Northampton Town 3.95, the draw 3.75

click here for more info...Both these sides are consistent for their inconsistency - so they're in the right division! Although you can count on one thing with Bristol Rovers - and that's goals. 

The Christmas period highlighted how teams can go from one extreme to the other. Rovers lost 4-1 to Charlton on Monday, but won 4-1 against Coventry previously. Throw in a 4-2 success against Bury and another heavy loss to Charlton (1-5) from the past six weeks, and you've got a ready-made angle for the Over 2.5 Goals. 

In fact, 11 of their 13 matches in Bristol have hit the target for the Over 2.5 bet, whilst backers of the BTTS would also have collected on 11 occasions. 

According to Opta, both sides have scored at least two goals in each of their last two meetings in league competition (Bristol Rovers 5, Northampton 4), so it's a fairly obvious way to be heading for Saturday. 

Rovers score plenty, and with 24 at home this term, only Rochdale and Scunthorpe have netted more. The Gas will also be missing the injured Ryan Hartley, and the centre-back is a big threat at set-pieces with six goals. 

Northampton themselves are wonderful in their patchy form - which is unlike a Rob Page side - as he likes a tight defence. They picked up a couple of wins on the road in December, and recently managed to stay in the game against in-form Sheffield United (losing 1-0 at Bramall Lane). They are worth an outside punt here.
source: betfair

Recommended Bets 
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 

Southend United 4.40 v Sheffield United 1.95, the draw 3.70

Backing odds-on away from home is not always the best way to go. I did for this column when Sheffield United beat Coventry 2-1 at the Ricoh in mid-December, and I had to thank Billy Sharp for an 87th minute winner. Sometimes I've been the pigeon, sometimes I've been the statue, and the Blades scraped that victory. 

Talking of statues - they'll erect one at Bramall Lane one day for Sharp, as the forward has been brilliant this campaign. Actually he's been brilliant most seasons, and he's a smashing player at this level. 

Sharp has hit 17 goals this term for the league leaders, who are now 1.56 in the League One winner market. They have won their last five on the spin and conceded just two goals in that run. Things are looking good for Chris Wilder's men. 

However, Southend do not deserve to be 4.40 shots here, and they are genuine play-off contenders at the moment. 

Their record at Roots Hall since defeat to Fleetwood back in August has been excellent, and they have carved out an unbeaten ten-match run. Phil Brown's side have conceded just ten in that sequence, with three clean sheets as well. 

The run of fixtures coming up for Southend will show us a bit about their mettle; with games against Rochdale, Bolton, and Scunthorpe.

The Shrimpers looked shattered in their Monday 0-0 against Swindon, so the latest batch of days' rest will be most welcome. Striker Nile Ranger featured over the Christmas period from the bench following injury, and I hope he starts this weekend. They look overpriced to me.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet 
Back Southend United to win @ 4.40

 

 


 

 

Colchester 2.60 v Carlisle 2.80; the draw 3.70 

click here for more info...'Clean sheet! My kingdom for a clean sheet!' That seemed to be one battle cry from Keith Curle this week after 12 games without one. Could it be 13th time lucky?

It would seem unlikely for many reasons. Firstly, his other strong public uttering was that he thinks some of his key players could do with a rest and he might give them one. Oh, how many managers would love the luxury of such thoughts when sitting third in League Two with a healthy goal difference, and a squad of sufficient quality to offer some genuine rotation opportunities. Derek Asamoah is desperate to force his way back in - and who wouldn't want to return to a generally winning team?

Curle is offering new contracts to several key players - top scorer Jason Kennedy, Luke Joyce, keeper Mark Gillespie, captain Danny Grainger and Michael Raynes - and awaiting their decisions before making major incursions into the transfer window, but he has been "bugging" Cardiff boss Neil Warnock about Rhys Healey, who was on loan at Newport. He'd also love to keep Macaulay Gillesphey on loan from Newcastle.

Carlisle have lost only once in their last 15 away games in League Two, point out Opta, winning six and drawing eight - and that's where this game could end up. The initial odds have shifted slightly from 2.70 apiece to Colchester's favour, but one important stat in Carlisle's favour is that, in those 12 games without a clean sheet, they have scored in all but one (26 goals in total), winning seven matches.

Colchester are seven games unbeaten, taking 19 points, after a 10-game winless streak. They are now eighth and eyeing the play-offs in a serious way. Right wing back Richard Brindley says it feels like everything is clicking, and his fellow wing back Brennan Dickenson would have to agree in their new 3-5-2 formation. Dickenson is now joint leading scorer, with Chris Porter, on seven, pleasing boss John McGreal that goals are coming from many quarters of his squad.

Colchester have kept five clean sheets in their last seven games, scoring 16 goals, which is the more important clue to both sides going hell for leather and producing a result with over 3.5 goals. You can go for 0-0 as an antidote to all known statistics as a correct score if you like at 15.00 but I think over 3.5 goals is much more likely to be rewarded at 2.84.
source: betfair

Recommended Bets
Back the draw @ 3.70

 

click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 

Hartlepool 3.10 v Grimsby 2.50; the draw 3.60

I seem to remember writing in the past that I expected the Hartlepool keeper to be the busiest in League Two - and two seasons later little has changed.

Whether it was Scott Flinders, as then, or Trevor Carson, as now, the position of Pools' stopper is a vital one. Just how crucial a custodian is can often be overlooked: but it was underlined by the local media's headline "Hartlepool star man out injured for rest of season" with a picture of Carson, who is due to have a shoulder operation after soldiering on manfully for some time, it seems.

With a goal difference of -9, the fifth worst in League Two, it will take a lot more than even an experienced goalkeeper to help Pools stave off the threat of relegation. This Craig Hignett well knows, having signed Fulham defender Sean Kavanagh, 22, a versatile left-footed defender who can play in midfield, too.

The manager still believes his side need to tighten their ship, even after a 0-0 draw at Portsmouth. The case against the defence was again put in their 2-2 draw at Accrington, secured at the last minute, much to the displeasure of opposition boss John Coleman. They also conceded two against Morecambe (but scored three to win).

With three defeats in six, conceding 12 goals and not managing to score in four of those, victory or even a point against Grimsby looks somewhat unlikely.

New boss Marcus Bignot seems to be taking the line that many people do in life: stick largely to what you know but don't be afraid to learn. According to reports, he is returning to his former club, Solihull Moors, to sign Jamie Osbourne and striker Akwasi Asante while also looking at other non-league players.

What is certain is that his first signing, Adi Yussef, scored in the remarkable 3-1 at Carlisle - remarkable only because it marked the Cumbrians' first home defeat. Bignot must hope this week's recruit, defender Gavin Gunning from Greenock, makes just as big an impact on his debut.

Clearly the Mariners' manager also has an eye on development and experimentation because Andrew Boyce admitted the squad was surprised when they changed to a 3-5-2 formation (what is it with managers in this division?) for the Carlisle match.

It meant Boyce returned to the team, so it was a welcome surprise for him. They seem to have hit one of their winning streaks, with two wins at a draw and I can see another win for them here and they can still eye the playoffs. All this transfer activity talk will surely inspire the likes of Omar Bogle to continue his scoring spree. Opta say he has 56% of his team's league goals (18 of 32) this season - the highest proportion of any League Two player.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Grimsby @ 2.50

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 


Leyton Orient 2.60 v Barnet 3.00; the draw 3.50

Another day, another key player ruled out for the season - Robbie Weir, the Leyton Orient captain this time - completing the wreckage that was the 4-0 defeat at Exeter.

The troubles don't get easier, with Jay Simpson now asking to leave the club six months before the end of his contract. Southend could be interested. With changes of manager and fans still upset with the running of the club, Simpson saying he wants out will hardly help Andy Edwards, nor will the continued absences of Teddy Mezague (groin), Sandro Semedo (knee) and Sam Dalby (ankle).

Even if Orient have taken seven points from three recent home games, Barnet seem in a far happier place, despite two defeats in four. A win over Plymouth, however, will have really boosted confidence, especially for debutants Simeon Akinola and Ricardo Almeida Santos. Dan Sweeney and David Tutonda, also recent recruits, will be pushing for full debuts.

The Bees have scored in all five of Rossi Eames' games in charge and chasing a top seven spot seems their aim and, in fact, Opta point out that Barnet have scored in their last 21 away games, setting a club record in the Football League. They are a nice big price to oblige.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Barnet @ 3.00

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 


02.01.2017


 

Man City 1.19 v Burnley 19.00; The Draw 8.80

I've repeatedly wrote in recent weeks that it doesn't matter who the opposition is, sometimes you can make a call on a football match simply by assessing one team.


In this case that one team is Burnley. Or if you prefer, that one team is the away version of Burnley.

At Turf Moor, what Sean Dyche's men are doing is nothing short of phenomenal, and they deserve enormous credit for it. Saturday's 4-1 thrashing of Sunderland took the Clarets' home points tally to 22 (from a possible 30). After the game they were sitting third in the Premier League table for home form. That's some achievement for a newly-promoted club.

But away from home Burnley are hopeless. They sit rock bottom of that particular table having taken just a single point all season, and they've scored just two goals on their travels which is by some distance the worst return in the Premier League.

On Monday the Clarets travel to Manchester City, who incidentally are one of the two teams that defeated them at Turf Moor. If you're still searching for your first away win of the campaign five months into the season, the Etihad Stadium isn't likely to be the place that you'll get it.

But then this Manchester City team don't exactly look bomb proof, especially on home soil where they've dropped points to Chelsea, Everton, Middlesbrough, and Southampton in the last few months. And following Saturday's defeat at Liverpool the mood in the camp won't exactly be sky high given they now trail league leaders Chelsea by fully 10 points.

The way I see this game going then is that Dyche will feel he has nothing to lose, and perhaps his best chance of getting anything from that match is by having a go against Pep Guardiola's men.

I wouldn't be surprised if Burnley got on the scoresheet in a similar type of game to how Chelsea v Stoke panned out at the weekend, but ultimately I think the home side will be too strong and take all three points, possibly by scoring at least four goals which is how I'm going to wager on the game.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Any Other Home Win @ 3.20

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Sunderland 10.00 v Liverpool 1.37; The Draw 5.50

There's a bit of a pattern emerging with Liverpool. For all that they've been involved in some highly entertaining games, scoring three or more goals but often allowing the opposition to get on the scoresheet, in their most recent 'key' games they've kept it very tight and played out some low-scoring affairs.

Since the start of October they've scored a massive 28 league goals in games against Swansea, West Brom, Crystal Palace, Watford, Sunderland, Bournemouth, West Ham, Middlesbrough, and Stoke, recording just two clean sheets in those nine games.

All those clubs are (or were at the time of playing) 10th or lower in the table. Even looking at September's games against similar-placed teams, Jurgen Klopp's men beat Leicester 4-1 and Hull 5-1; another nine goals scored, two more failures to keep a clean sheet.

Yet in games against much stronger opposition recently, games that had a lot more riding on them, Liverpool have drawn 0-0 with both Manchester United and Southampton, and defeated Everton and Man City 1-0. That's just two goals scored and a 100% clean sheet record.

It's perhaps something to think of going forward. Klopp's men appear to be fully focused in the 'big' games, but against the teams that they find it easy to score against and should beat, they'll often switch off and allow the opposition to score.

With all this in mind, and given my opinion that Liverpool should easily beat a Sunderland team that are now appearing to be hopeless, the 2/1 on offer about an away win with both teams getting on the scoresheet makes plenty of appeal.

The stumbling block of course is the Black Cats finding the back of the net, but with Jermain Defoe in the side they've always got a chance. And if Liverpool find this game a bit of a stroll and take their foot off the gas then Sunderland must have a chance of doing what so many other bottom-half clubs have done against them by scoring at least once.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet: Exclusively for users of PREMIUM Bet service (02.01.2017)

 

click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Norwich 2.44 v Derby 3.20; The Draw 3.40

A cracking game in prospect here between two very good sides on their day, but just like I did a week ago I have to express my amazement that Norwich are such strong favourites.

On Boxing Day the Canaries - who had lost seven of their previous nine Championship games - were favourites to win away from home at in-form Reading. I didn't understand that one bit, and thankfully it went in our favour as the Royals ran out relatively easy 3-1 winners.

That meant Alex Neil's men had lost eight of their previous 10, and they've since been held to a goalless draw with Brentford, so how on earth can you back a team that has won just two of their last 11 as hot favourites against arguably the Championship's most in-form team?

True, Derby were disappointing in drawing 0-0 with Wigan on Saturday but hopefully that was merely a small blip. The Rams were still recording their eighth consecutive clean sheet on home soil, and from their last 10 games in the Championship they've won eight, drawn two, and prevented the opposition from scoring on eight occasions.

That run of excellent form entitles Steve McClaren's men to be at least a similar price as Norwich - who incidentally six points and five places behind Derby in the table - but given the dire form of the hosts we'd be forgiven for expecting to see the away team trading as favourites.

Derby aren't favourites, far from it, and we simply have to take a punt on them at odds of 3.20.
source: betfair

Recommended Bets
Back Derby to Win @ 3.20

 



SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription


 

 

Bristol City 2.26 v Reading 3.50; The Draw 3.85

For the second week in a row I'm genuinely amazed at the price of Reading, in fact this is the third time in the space of about six weeks that they appear to have been dismissed in the market.

I must be missing something. But then again, am I? Jaap Stam's men have won eight of their last 10 matches, sit third in the table, and are playing away to a team that has dropped to 17th in the Championship after losing eight of their last nine.

I'm genuinely staggered - but delighted at the same time - that we can back the Royals at 3.50.

To put those odds into perspective, Ipswich Town, who are 14th in the table and not in any great form, are away to a team just one point worse off than Bristol City, and yet the Tractor Boys are just 3.00 to win.

I'll repeat what I've just said above. Reading are third in the table, are in tremendous form, and they're playing a side that sit rock bottom in the 10-game form table. Stam's men have taken 24 points from the last 30 available, the Robins have taken just four.

Let me just check that Reading actually are available to back at 3.50. Yes they are. Wow!

They may lose of course because as anyone who knows me will know too well I'm a huge believer in the 'anything can happen in football' factor. On any given day, any team can beat anyone, and no more so than in this division. But betting is all about being happy with the price, backing at odds you think are too big.

If you stick to that philosophy you will generally profit in the long term, and odds of 3.50 about Reading just seem incredibly generous.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Reading to Win @ 3.50 

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 

 

Nottm Forest 2.50 v Barnsley 3.10; The Draw 3.50

Games involving Nottm Forest continue to witness goals, so let's chance our arm on seeing at least four of them at the City Ground on Monday afternoon.

No team in the bottom half of the Championship has scored more goals than the 37 Forest have managed, and only Rotherham (52) have conceded more (Forest have conceded 44). The 81 goals seen in their games this term mean each match averages just shy of 3.5 per match.

We can back Over 3.5 Goals at 3.10 here, and that seems like a value wager.

Of course, it takes two teams to make a football match but we should have no worries about Barnsley being able to get on the scoresheet or concede themselves, as their league matches this term have witnessed 79 goals, just two fewer than Forest's games.

The Tykes' last seven league games have averaged exactly four goals per game, including Saturday's 2-2 draw with Birmingham, while for Forest their last seven league matches have averaged 3.43 goals per game.

And of course, when these two side last met six weeks ago we were treated to the net bulging seven times in a live TV match. I'm not expecting that amount of goals this time but given the stats for each team outlined here I think a price of 3.10 about witnessing at least four is more than fair.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.10

 


bet like a pro
click here & find more


 

Gillingham 2.56 v Oxford United 2.60, the draw 3.50

Monday 2nd January, 15:00

Keeping up with the festive League One games is a job-and-a-half so never mind playing twice in three days. Whether the extra day of rest for Gillingham is crucial I am not sure, but the hosts do not look a bad price for the first home game of 2017 at Priestfield.

Gills' boss Justin Edinburgh will face a selection poser, as Bradley Dack and Paul Konchesky were both red-carded against Millwall on Friday. They lost 2-1 at The Den, but that part of London has never been a happy hunting ground for the Kent club. They played well for much of the game with ten men, and were a bit unlucky not to take something from the match. But like so many affairs in this division, the cutting edge up front proved critical.

Oxford have only scored 12 on the road this season, with just two victories away from home. That slightly tempers the Both Teams To Score market, as Gillingham's home matches involving that particular bet has hit nine out of 11 times. Which is an improvement on the Over 2.5 stats for games at the Priestfield - which is just six from the same amount.

Gillingham are nowhere near a play-off side, but neither are Oxford. Edinburgh's team have at least picked up their home record recently - going five unbeaten including wins against Rochdale (3-0) and MK Dons (1-0). And lest we forget - clean sheets have been the problem for them all campaign.

The Gills have conceded 28 away and just 11 on their own soil, and with the extra day of rest, I'm prepared to give a chance to Gillingham at what looks a fair price.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet 
Back Gillingham to beat Oxford United @ 2.56

 

click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...

 

AFC Wimbledon 2.58 v Millwall 2.60, the draw 3.55

Monday 2nd January, 13:00

Millwall's festive form cannot be faulted - a maximum of nine points with victories against Gillingham, Swindon, and Charlton has pushed the Lions once again into the play-off picture.

The men from The Den scored seven goals in those three matches, and front duo Steve Morison and Lee Gregory are doing the business. Their combined total for goals in 2016 stands at an impressive 43 between them. Good sides have good partnerships, and they work ever-so-well together.

Neither of those two played when these two teams met in November - playing out a 0-0 draw at The Den. Both teams cancelled each other out on that occasion, and there's an argument to say that Wimbledon will have to try and do the same here as the Lions are scoring.

However, Millwall on the road have a shocking defensive record - conceding 25 in all, which puts them on a par with the leaky duo Bury and Coventry. Only Gillingham have the worst tally in terms of shipping goals at 28.

The hosts conceded three at Southend on Boxing Day, but they are one of the form teams of the division. At Kingsmeadow, the Dons have a recent couple of big wins including a 5-1 and a 4-0 (against Port Vale and Bury), but they are two poor sides at the moment.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet 
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85

 

 


SPECIAL OFFER
◄► 1 EUR per DAY!!◄►


PREMIUM bet service subscription on a 30 days period, for just ONE euro per day!
(4 match per day)

Payment options: SKRILL, NETTELER, WESTERN UNION


click here to contact us for subscription


 

Oldham Athletic 2.02 v Port Vale 3.60, the draw 3.6

Monday 2nd January, 15:00

This is unlikely to be a classic, but that's not a reason to avoid this game. In fact, out of some of the tricky matches for Monday, this was the one that stood out for me as a bet.

Port Vale parted company with Bruno Ribeiro recently, and following a promising start, results dipped as they slipped to 17th in League One. Ribeiro's patient, passing style will be ditched by caretaker boss Michael Brown - who is going to opt for a more aggressive, high-energy game judged on his first in charge on Boxing Day against Chesterfield.

That was a much-needed 1-0 success. Both teams had just five shots in total on target, and the match was sparse in quality. The Burslem side's away record reads LDLLLW, and have suffered some heavy defeats against the better clubs.

Oldham are not one of the form teams in the division, although I made the point in Saturday's column that they are a better footballing outfit than a team who are bottom of the table.

The Latics just cannot score at home, and a record of just four there means we should be looking at a low-scoring game. Indeed, the Under 2.5 Goals at Boundary Park this term is flying - with nine games out of ten successful. The 0-0 Correct Score has also come up trumps a few times for Oldham's home matches - with four in total ending that way.

Defensively Athletic have shipped in just 11, which is not bad for the league's worst team. This will be low on quality, and Vale looked very tired after their exertions on Friday.
source: betfair

Recommended Bets 
Back Oldham Athletic to beat Port Vale @ 2.02 
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.77

 

GO INSIDE OF THE WORLD'S FAVOURITE SPORTS BETTING SITE WITH 100% MORE MONEY!

If for any reason you are not satisfied (in what we seriously doubt) simply withdraw your money!

 Bet on our tips with their money!
 
●●► exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus

 

 

26.11.2016/16:00
England League One
Gillingham-Rochdale

click here for more info...Rochdale eased into a play-off spot on Tuesday after handing out a 4-0 shellacking to Walsall. But the Dale are a curious team; their last three games have finished W4-0, W4-0, L4-0, and the question here posed is how much do you trust them to follow up from Tuesday night?

One thing we can put almost maximum faith in, is the inability of Gillingham to keep a clean sheet. In fact, it's a while since I touched on this particular area - so in times of doubt - head to Kent. 

In 27 games in all competitions (including the much-maligned EFL Trophy), they have managed to keep just one shutout, and that came against West Brom's Under 21s.

More startling is their record at Priestfield; as both teams have scored in every single game. Not one fixture at Gillingham has produced a clean sheet for any team - and that is from 10 matches. Backing the Over 2.5 Goals in all home games for Justin Edinburgh's team would have netted you 6/10. 

The hosts have been playing Bradley Dack in a more central role, but they have shipped 32 goals this term. Rochdale have got to view this as a game they should be winning - especially with their league position, which could make for BTTS here. 

Opta stats: Gillingham have won three of their last four home games with Rochdale, and Dale are winless in five league outings with the Gills. If the hosts concede in this game, they will equal their longest run without a clean sheet in their entire Football League history - going 26 games without one between September 1992 and March 1993.
source: betfair

Recommended Bet:
Exclusively for users of TOTAL GOALS (26.11.) Bet service

 

12.11.2016/16:00
England League Two
Luton Town-Accrington Stanley

Can Luton come out of their rut of League Two draws with a win? Or can Accrington rekindle that magic which puts them on great unbeaten runs and makes them series promotion contenders?

At the moment, John Coleman's side seem to be stuttering in the league, with one victory in their past six games, and emphasising their role as perennial underdogs by popping up and beating Bradford in the FA Cup.

Maybe finally having a big investment and money to play with has taken away their edge. Or maybe that FA Cup victory can kick start a another promotion push spearheaded by top scorers Romauld Boco and Billy Kee.

Luton's Danny Hylton has scored in seven of his last eight starts, emphasise Opta, who are keen to point out that the Hatters have compiled the biggest number of shots on target (88) across League Two this season. Which means they should be scoring a lot more goals than five draws from the last six games would suggest (four of them finishing 1-1). So it is about time they turned those draws into wins.
source:betfair

Recommended Bet:
Exclusively for users of PREMIUM Bet service

 

click here for more info... click here for more info... click here for more info...
Go inside of the new season of betting  supported with 100% more money with Bet365!✔

Open Account at Bet365, invest EUR 100 and get a bonus 100%
Bet on our tips with their money!(only for those who register for the first time)

exclusive through this baner ●●►
click here and grab your 100% bet bonus